西村友作、孫便霞(外), President's Tweets, US-China economic conflict and stock market Volatility: Evidence from China and G5 countries(SSCI)

Abstract

This study provides empirical evidence that the tweets from US President Donald J. Trump influence the trading decisions of investors worldwide. We examine the effects of Trump’s tweets related to China on stock market volatility in China and the G5 countries. Our results show that Trump’s original tweets related to the US-China economic conflict expand volatility in stock markets worldwide, and the US-China trade friction intensifies this effect. Furthermore, Trump’s tweets with different sentiments have different impacts on the returns of global stock markets. Our findings confirm that international investors may make their investment decisions based on information conveyed in these tweets.


(鏈接)

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S106294082100125X